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Feliz Navidad 2016

Tropical Storm Colin

Tropical Storm Colin Becomes Earliest “C” Storm in Atlantic History NOAA’s National Hurricane Center upgraded Tropical Depression 3 to Tropical Storm Colin in a special update at 5:30 PM EDT Sunday, June 5--making some history along the way. Never before have we been tracking the Atlantic’s third named storm of a calendar year this early in the year. As noted in a article, there have been two other “C” storms as early as June since current naming practices began in the 1950s: Hurricane Chris (which began as a named subtropical storm on June 18, 2012) and Tropical Storm Candy (June 23, 1968). Going all the way back to 1851, the previous earliest appearance of the season’s third storm was June 12, 1887, although some early-season storms were undoubtedly missed during the pre-satellite era. As of 8 PM EDT Sunday, Tropical Storm Colin was located in the south central Gulf of Mexico at 23.4°N, 87.8°W, or about 460 miles southwest of Tampa, Florida. Colin is a minimal tropical storm, with top sustained winds of just 40 mph, and only modest further strengthening is expected before Colin approaches the northwest Gulf Coast of the Florida peninsula on Monday evening. The well-defined southwesterly flow steering Colin will take it into the Atlantic and on a track paralleling the southeast U.S. coast on Tuesday, where models suggest it will maintain or regain tropical storm strength, especially southeast of North Carolina. Update: At 11:00 PM EDT Sunday, NHC placed the southeast U.S. coast from Sebastian Inlet, FL, to Altamaha Sound, GA, under a tropical storm warning, with a tropical storm watch extending northward from the warning area to the South Santee River,...

Comienza temporada ciclónica con una vaguada y a la espera de una onda tropical en el país

Seguirán los aguaceros en las próximas horas debido a una vaguada que está sobre el territorio dominicano y en combinación con el alto contenido de humedad y la inestabilidad de la masa de aire.Para mañana jueves la vaguada continuará incidiendo sobre la República Dominicana y el contenido de humedad se mantendrá bastante alto a lo que se le sumará el acercamiento de la onda tropical número cuatro a la costa caribeña, que está localizada al oeste de las Antillas Menores, por lo tanto, se espera que continúen los aguaceros ocasionalmente fuertes con tormentas eléctricas y ráfagas de viento en gran parte del país. Las precipitaciones serán hacia las provincias Hermanas Mirabal, Espaillat, Santiago, Puerto Plata, Dajabón, Santiago Rodríguez, Valverde, Montecristi, Sánchez Ramírez, Duarte, María Trinidad Sánchez, Samaná, La Vega, Monseñor Nouel, El Seibo, Hato Mayor, La Altagracia, San José de Ocoa, San Juan, Elías Piña, Bahoruco e Independencia, según un informe de la Oficina Nacional de Meteorología (Onamet). Hoy se inicia la temporada ciclónica para el Atlántico Norte, Mar Caribe y el Golfo de México. Concluye el 30 de noviembre y es el periodo del año en que mayormente se forman ciclones tropicales. La Onamet recomienda a la ciudadanía dar seguimiento a los boletines que se emitirán con relación a la existencia de uno de estos fenómenos y tener un plan de acción en caso de que uno de ellos pueda afectar a la República Dominicana. La Onamet mantiene un alerta meteorológico por desbordamiento de ríos, arroyos y cañadas, inundaciones repentinas y deslizamientos de tierra para las provincias:Santiago, Santiago Rodríguez, Dajabón, Elías Piña, Montecristi, Valverde, Puerto Plata, Espaillat, Duarte, Monte Plata, Hato Mayor, San...

2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season Expected to be Most Active Since 2012

p { margin-bottom: 0.25cm; line-height: 120%; }a:link { } The 2016 Atlantic hurricane season is expected to be the most active since 2012, according to a forecast released Friday by The Weather Company, an IBM Business. A total of 14 named storms, eight hurricanes and three major hurricanes are forecast during the coming season. The Weather Company's forecast also calls for a slightly higher number of named storms and hurricanes than an outlook issued earlier in April by Colorado State University (CSU) that is headed by Dr. Phil Klotzbach. That forecast said the Atlantic was expected to see 13 named storms, six hurricanes and two major hurricanes. An important note about both outlooks is that the seasonal forecast numbers do include Hurricane Alex, a rare January hurricane that struck the Azores a few months back. Though the official hurricane season spans the months from June through November, occasionally we can see storms form outside those months.

The 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Begins

New CSU, TSR Forecasts Call For a Quiet Season. The 2015 Atlantic hurricane season is officially underway. We've already had one early season storm, Tropical Storm Ana; will we have an early June Tropical Storm Bill? There are indications that the second tropical depression of the year has a chance to form late this week in the waters near South Florida or the Bahama Islands on Friday or Saturday. We have warmer than average SSTs in these waters, and the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is expected to be active in the Western Hemisphere late this week, and both of these factors argue for higher than usual odds of an early June tropical depression forming in the Atlantic. Over the past few days, the GFS model has been consistently advertising the possibility that an area of low pressure capable of developing into a tropical depression will form in this region, although the European model (so far) has not gone along with this idea. If we do get something developing, it would potentially be a heavy rain threat for South Florida and the Northern Bahamas over the weekend, but then move northeastwards out to sea without troubling any more land areas. Summary of the 2015 Atlantic hurricane season forecastsThe major hurricane forecasting groups are not impressed with this season's potential to be an active one, and are universally calling for 2015 to be a below average to way below-average year for the Atlantic. The highest forecast numbers were from Weather Underground Community Hurricane Forecast, which called for 11 named storms, 5 hurricanes, and 2 major hurricanes. The lowest numbers were from North Carolina State University: 5 named storms,...

Subtropical Storm Ana

Summary of 800 am EDT...1200 UTC...information----------------------------------------------location...31.5n 77.5wabout 170 mi...275 km SSE of Myrtle Beach South Carolinamaximum sustained winds...45 mph...75 km/hpresent movement...stationaryminimum central pressure...1005 mb...29.68 inchesWatches and warnings--------------------changes with this advisory:NoneSummary of watches and warnings in effect:A tropical storm watch is in effect for...* Edisto Beach South Carolina to Cape Lookout North CarolinaA tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions arepossible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.A Tropical Storm Warning could be issued later this morning.For storm information specific to your area, including possibleinland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by yourlocal National Weather Service forecast office.Discussion and 48-hour outlook------------------------------at 800 am EDT (1200 utc), the center of subtropical storm Ana waslocated near latitude 31.5 north, longitude 77.5 west. The stormhas been nearly stationary during the past few hours but is expectedto move more toward the north-northwest later today. A turntoward the northwest with a slight increase in forward speed isexpected by the weekend.Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) with highergusts. Some slight strengthening is forecast during the nextday or so.Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) from thecenter.The minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Reservereconnaissance unit aircraft is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).Hazards affecting land----------------------wind: tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch areaby Saturday afternoon or evening.Storm surge: the combination of storm surge and the tidewill cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by risingwaters. The water could reach 1 to 2 ft above ground within thewatch area if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide.For information specific to your area...please see products issuedby your local National Weather Service office for more details.Rainfall: Ana is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 2 to4 inches over eastern portions of...